Nomura expects the Reserve Bank of India to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points in December.

智通财经2026/10/08 02:21

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Nomura analysts stated in a report that the Reserve Bank of India unexpectedly shifted its policy stance from "neutral" to "orderly tightening" in order to stabilize inflation expectations and build a buffer against a globally adverse environment. The investment bank expects the Reserve Bank of India to raise rates by another 25 basis points in December and then pause, which contrasts with the market's expectation of a longer rate hike cycle. The Reserve Bank of India has raised its GDP growth and inflation forecasts for the 2026/27 fiscal year to 7.1% and 5.2%, respectively, and has also raised its inflation forecast for the coming year to 5.6%.

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