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Institutions suggest that silver may shift from shortage to surplus

Institutions suggest that silver may shift from shortage to surplus

智通财经智通财经2026/10/07 07:36
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(1) Deutsche Bank believes that silver may be shifting from a shortage to a surplus. According to the bank’s analyst Gary, the peak of the silver shortage has clearly passed, and a supply surplus could emerge as early as 2027. (2) Silver is currently trading at approximately $61 per ounce, up roughly 26% year-on-year. During the period of physical shortage in early 2026, it briefly reached about $120 per ounce. (3) As of the end of August, London commercial vaults held more than 914 million ounces of silver, with the freely available portion exceeding 300 million ounces, representing an increase of around 70% since October 2025. (4) Photovoltaic demand is shrinking rapidly, with Deutsche Bank expecting global silver consumption in the photovoltaic sector to decline by more than 20% this year. (5) Manufacturers are adopting finer contact wires and copper-coated pastes, with the amount of silver used per photovoltaic cell projected to decrease by about 17% by 2026. (6) Deutsche Bank forecasts an average silver price of approximately $70 per ounce in the second quarter of 2027.

⑴ Deutsche Bank believes that silver may be shifting from shortage to surplus. Analyst Gary stated that the peak of silver shortages has clearly passed, and supply surplus may occur as early as 2027.⑵ Silver is currently trading at around $61/oz, up approximately 26% from the same period last year. During the physical shortage at the beginning of 2026, prices reached around $120/oz.⑶ By the end of August, the London Commercial Vault held over approximately 914 million ounces of silver, with more than approximately 300 million ounces available for free use, an increase of about 70% since October 2025.⑷ Photovoltaic demand is rapidly shrinking. Deutsche Bank expects global photovoltaic silver consumption to decline by more than approximately 20% this year.⑸ Manufacturers are adopting thinner contact lines and copper-coated paste. By 2026, silver usage per photovoltaic cell is expected to decrease by about 17%.⑹ Deutsche Bank anticipates the average price of silver in the second quarter of 2027 will be about $70/oz.
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