CME Fed Watch: Probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 77.3%
智通财经2026/10/05 22:26According to CME "FedWatch": there is a 77.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by October, and a 22.7% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike. By December, there is a 13.4% probability that rates will remain unchanged, a 67.8% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point hike, and an 18.8% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point increase.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
US stock fluctuation: Enliven plunged on October 6th due to high-level correction and profit-taking.
Central 1 expects the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates only twice in this round, and to start in early next year.
Central 1 Credit Union in Canada anticipates that the Bank of Canada may only raise interest rates twice during the current tightening cycle, with the first hike expected to occur early next year, which is significantly less aggressive than current market pricing suggests. Central 1 economist Bryan Yu stated that Canada is currently experiencing a period of high uncertainty, with the economic outlook rapidly evolving. The sharp rise in U.S. and Canadian bond yields, the impact of tariffs, and drastic fluctuations in oil prices have all increased the difficulty of policy decisions. Yu pointed out that Canada’s core inflation remains close to 2%, and due to trade uncertainties, economic growth may slow by the end of 2026. Meanwhile, elevated bond yields could also suppress the recovery of the real estate market, thereby limiting both the necessity and room for the Bank of Canada to further tighten monetary policy.
Crypto prices
More
