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US STOCKS-US stock futures down as Middle East strikes fuel inflation anxiety

US STOCKS-US stock futures down as Middle East strikes fuel inflation anxiety

ReutersReuters2026/08/31 10:57
By:Reuters

Futures down: Dow 0.18%, S&P 500 0.17%, Nasdaq 0.1%

Warsh's hawkish stance puts focus on upcoming data

Nvidia, chipmakers gain in premarket trading

Updates prices

By Niket Nishant and Utkarsh Hathi

- Wall Street futures edged lower on Monday after military clashes between the U.S. and Iran drove up oil prices, stoking inflation fears as the interest-rate outlook turns more hawkish.

The losses could set the tone for September, which is typically a weak month for equities, and are likely to up the ante at the U.S. Federal Reserve's meeting next month.

Traders see a nearly 60% chance of a rate hike at the September meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool, a sharp increase from 41.4% a week ago, after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said policymakers may need to increase interest rates if inflation doesn't ease to the central bank's 2% target.

"Chair Warsh delivered a distinctly more hawkish message than investors anticipated, making it abundantly clear that policy easing is not on the horizon," said David Chao, global market strategist, Asia Pacific, at Invesco.

Warsh's comments, delivered on Friday at his first appearance at the Fed's Jackson Hole symposium, came after mixed data in recent weeks.

A consumer inflation report earlier this month showed price pressures were mild, but the Personal Consumption Expenditures reading, the Fed's preferred gauge, was hotter than expected.

The ambiguity could raise the stakes for the monthly U.S. employment report, due on September 4. Recent reports did not indicate that "underlying trends have meaningfully improved," Warsh said on Friday.

"Market participants are looking ahead more nervously to U.S. nonfarm payrolls data on Friday, which is likely to be the highlight of the trading week amid heightened monetary policy uncertainty," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial market analyst at Capital.com.

At 06:29 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis YMcv1 fell 94 points, or 0.18%, S&P 500 E-minis EScv1 shed 13.25 points, or 0.17%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis NQcv1 lost 28.75 points, or 0.1%.

Nvidia NVDA.O rose 0.64% before the bell and was the only gainer among the Magnificent Seven stocks. Other chipmakers were also up, with Intel INTC.O, Lam Research LRCX.O and Texas Instruments TXN.O gaining 0.8%, 1% and 0.5%, respectively.

"I continue to favor areas of the market linked to structural growth themes such as artificial intelligence and digital infrastructure," Invesco's Chao said.

Military strikes between the U.S. and Iran resumed in the Middle East, where disruption in the Strait of Hormuz has impeded oil shipments.

Energy stocks rose following nearly a 6% jump in Brent crude LCOc1, with Halliburton HAL.N and Valero Energy VLO.N climbing 2.29% and 1.91%, respectively.

Most crypto stocks were higher, with bitcoin pinned above $78,000. Coinbase COIN.O, Strategy MSTR.O and CleanSpark CLSK.O added between 0.78% and 1.92%, respectively.

GameStop's shares slipped 2% after the video game retailer said it expects second-quarter net sales to decline due to planned store closures and the divestiture of its France business.


(Reporting by Niket Nishant and Utkarsh Hathi in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju Samuel and Pooja Desai)

((Niket.Nishant@thomsonreuters.com;))

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