Tradeweb: Global 10-year government bond yields jump in July as sell-off hits Europe
Reuters2026/08/12 00:05- Tradeweb analysis flagged a July sell-off in global government bonds, with 10-year benchmark yields rising by double digits.
- Greece posted the largest move, with its 10-year yield up 40 basis points to 3.89%.
- Europe drove much of the repricing, with Italy up 36 basis points to 4% and France up 32 basis points to 3.98%.
- Tradeweb cited higher oil prices, rising inflation expectations, shifting rate-hike bets, geopolitical risk, and heavier sovereign supply.
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose nearly 27 basis points to 4.71% despite cooling inflation readings that stayed above 2%.
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Will a 10-year US Treasury yield rising to 5.5% "attack" US stocks? Societe Generale warns: this could be the valuation tipping point.
Bokobza, Global Head of Asset Allocation at Société Générale, pointed out that if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield reaches 5.5%, corporate profit growth will not be sufficient to offset the impact of rising rates on valuations, and the stock market will face substantial pressure. However, he believes that the upcoming rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank will be relatively limited and will not disrupt the current economic cycle.
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