Analyst: The market is eager for more progress, with several weeks of uncertainty remaining in the Israel-Iran conflict.

金十2026/04/02 02:03

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Golden Ten Data reported on April 2 that IG market analyst Tony Sycamore stated: "Previously, the general market expectation was that tensions would continue to ease, and in the past few days we have indeed seen signs of this. Overall, this trend still exists, but I believe the market is eager for more substantial progress. From my perspective, observing the stock market, we are seeing a typical 'buy the rumor, sell the news' reaction; while the response in the crude oil market is exactly the opposite. Currently, the market is shrouded in another two to three weeks of uncertainty."

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According to Goldman Sachs, global refined oil exports have declined by about 6 million barrels per day year-on-year, with the Gulf region and Russia contributing three-quarters of the decrease. Unlike crude oil, which can be rerouted, damaged refineries cannot be relocated, and the Gulf region's refined oil exports have only recovered to 40% of pre-war levels. Goldman Sachs expects global refinery utilization rates to recover only by the second half of 2027; based on this, it has more than doubled its forecast for diesel profit margins in 2027.

华尔街见闻•2026/08/30 03:01