The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 91.2%.

Based on the "Fed Watch" by the CME, the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in August is 91.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.8%. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates in September is 34.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 59.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 5.4%.