The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 89.7%.

The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in August is 89.7%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 10.3%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in September is 35.9%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 57.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 6.2%.