Bitget Daily Futures Market Dynamics

The time window is extremely tight—according to SEC regulations, the S-1 filing must be submitted by next week at the latest, and prediction markets estimate the probability of a listing within the year at around 80%. The sell-off in the AI sector has cast a shadow over the listing prospects, and the previous plan to go public in September has already fallen through. Several market participants say that Anthropic may face pressure to delay its listing, but some analysts point out that the company's urgent need for capital may drive it to stick to the original plan.

Investors are increasingly questioning the previously widespread Wall Street trading logic: going long on large technology stocks while shorting defensive markets pressured by concerns that AI-related spending will reignite inflation.

AI giants' massive capital expenditures have triggered a market trust crisis, with the Nasdaq recording its worst two-week performance in recent years, and a basket of AI-related stocks plunging 4.9% in a single week. Meanwhile, US Treasury bonds have made a strong reversal, with the 10-year yield falling below 5% and bond ETFs attracting $58 billion in a single month. The expansion of AI and government deficit financing are simultaneously competing for limited capital, fundamentally rewriting the logic of the era of cheap capital.