The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 96%.

According to based on the "Fed Watch" by CME, the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in June is 96.0%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.0%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates until August is 80.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 19.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.7%.