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AI success leads to deflation, failure shifts focus to safety! Apollo Chief Economist: Regardless of the scenario, U.S. Treasury yields will decline in 2027.
Torsten Slok believes that successful AI commercialization will lead to a large-scale deflationary effect, resulting in declining interest rates; if the AI bubble bursts, the Nasdaq could plummet by 50%, prompting a surge of safe-haven funds into US Treasuries and causing yields to drop sharply as well. The next six months are a key window; market narratives are expected to shift from "inflation + fiscal deficit" to the success or failure of AI. Current high interest rates may be on the eve of a turning point.
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