The probability that the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged in June and August is 85.7% and 65.4% respectively

CME “Fed Watch” data show that the Federal Reserve in June to maintain interest rates unchanged probability of 85.7%, the probability of a 25 basis point cut in interest rates is 14.3%. At the same time, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in August is 85.7%. 65.4%, with a 31.3% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut and a 3.4% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut.