Bitcoin options open interest for March expiry on Deribit hits record levels
An historically high amount of bitcoin options open interest on Deribit is set to expire on Friday.An increase in open interest signals higher liquidity and more market participants.
"This Friday marks one of the biggest expiries in Deribit's history as $9.5 billion bitcoin options open interest out of $26.3 billion will expire, or 40%," Deribit analysts said in a note sent to The Block.
The max pain level for Friday's end of month expiry on the Deribit derivatives exchange is $50,000. Image: Deribit.
The data from Deribit corresponds with that from The Block's Data Dashboard . According to The Block's data, open interest in U.S. dollar value for Friday's March end-of-month expiry for bitcoin options contracts on Deribit has increased to a peak of $8.61 billion. In contrast, the end-of-month expiries on Deribit for January and February were significantly lower, at $3.74 billion and $3.72 billion, respectively.
More options than usual set to expire in-the-money
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According to Deribit, out of the $9.5 billion bitcoin options open interest, at a current spot price level of around $70,000, $3.9 billion will expire in-the-money, with a "max pain" price of $50,000. This means that if these options were to be exercised before or on Friday, they would generate a profit, suggesting a significant portion of the options contracts are currently valuable based on the current price of bitcoin.
The Deribit analysts added that the present situation implies that a large number of options are profitable due to bitcoin's recent price rally, which can lead to derivatives traders seeking to hedge their positions or speculate on further price movements.
Deribit analysts suggested that with higher levels of in-the-money expiries, increased buying activity may occur as option holders exercise their contracts. This activity could potentially exert upward pressure on the price of bitcoin or increase volatility as traders adjust their positions.
"These levels are higher than usual which can also be seen in the low max pain levels. The reason is of course the recent price rally. Higher levels of in-the-money expiries might lead to potential upward pressure or volatility in the underlying and a removal of the lower max pain magnet," Deribit analysts said.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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