The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in December is 99.8%

Probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in the range of 5.25% to 5.50% in December is 99.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.2%. The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged until February next year is 97.8%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 0.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 2%. The probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points until March next year is 29.4%, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 69.1%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 1.4%.