SpaceX (Derivatives)の‌価格SPCX

● Chart 1 — "The Squeeze" .$preSPCX I'm staring at the 1.5‑hour chart, coffee in hand. What I see: · Price stuck at 142.02, sandwiched between support (141.99) and resistance (142.41). · Bollinger Bands so tight they're practically touching — I've seen this before. · Volume is dead (107 vs 470 average) — nobody's committing. My inner monologue: "This is a coiled spring. But without volume, a breakout could be a fakeout. I've been burned by these before." My decision: · No trade yet. I set alerts at 141.95 and 142.45. · I mentally prepare: "First clean 5‑minute candle outside this range WITH volume > 500, and I'm in." My emotion: Patient, slightly anxious — I know the move is coming. 📍 Chart 2 — "The Context" . I zoom out to see the bigger picture. What I see: · Price fell from 152 to 142 — that's a ~6.5% drop in 24 hours. · SuperTrend at 143.57 is bearish, SAR at 142.64 is bearish. · But support at 141.00 has held twice already. My inner monologue: "Okay, so we're in a downtrend, but we're bouncing off a strong support zone. The real question: is this a reversal or a dead cat bounce?" My decision: · I widen my stop‑loss to 140.80 (just below support) to avoid getting stopped by wicks. · I note: "If 141.00 breaks, I'm shorting with conviction. If it holds and we break 142.45, I'll flip bullish." My emotion: Cautiously analytical — I'm respecting the trend but watching for a turn. 📍 Chart 3 — "The Macro View" . I pull the really big picture. What I see: · SuperTrend at 145.05 — still bearish. · BUT — SAR is at 139.95, below price for the first time. That's a bullish divergence on the daily. · Price is kissing the lower Bollinger Band at 140.07 — oversold territory. My inner monologue: "Whoa — SAR flipped bullish on the daily. That's the first green flag I've seen in 2 days. But volume is still weak... is this a fake reversal signal?" My decision: · I add a new layer to my plan: "If price holds above 140.18 and I get a volume spike > 5K, I'll consider a scalp long to 143.90." · I also set a trailing stop at 140.00 to protect against a breakdown. My emotion: Intrigued, disciplined — I'm not chasing, but I'm ready. ● My Complete Trade Plan with Risk/Reward Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Item My Value Entry Above 142.45 with volume > 500 Stop‑Loss 141.50 Target 1 (T1) 143.90 Target 2 (T2) 144.97 My Risk/Reward Calculation: Risk 142.45 − 141.50 = 0.95 USDT Reward (T1) 143.90 − 142.45 = 1.45 USDT R:R (T1) 1 : 1.53 Reward (T2) 144.97 − 142.45 = 2.52 USDT R:R (T2) 1 : 2.65 ✅ (my target > 1:2) My Position Size (2% portfolio rule): · Portfolio: $10,000 · Max risk per trade: $200 · Position size = $200 / 0.95 = ~210 units of SPCX Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Item My Value Entry Below 141.00 with volume > 500 Stop‑Loss 142.20 Target 1 (T1) 139.90 Target 2 (T2) 138.50 My Risk/Reward Calculation: Risk 142.20 − 141.00 = 1.20 USDT Reward (T1) 141.00 − 139.90 = 1.10 USDT R:R (T1) 1 : 0.92 ⚠️ (below my 1:2 minimum) Reward (T2) 141.00 − 138.50 = 2.50 USDT R:R (T2) 1 : 2.08 ✅ (only if I hold to T2) My Adjustment: "Since T1 gives me poor R:R, I'll either: · Skip this trade entirely, OR · Scale my position so my stop is tighter (140.80), giving me 1:1.25 at T1, OR · Only enter if I'm confident price will reach T2." My Position Size (if I take it): · Max risk: $200 · Position size = $200 / 1.20 = ~166 units of SPCX Scenario 3: Reversal Bounce Item My Value Entry Hold 140.18 + bullish candle + volume > 5K Stop‑Loss 139.80 Target 143.90 My Risk/Reward Calculation: Risk 140.18 − 139.80 = 0.38 USDT Reward 143.90 − 140.18 = 3.72 USDT R:R 1 : 9.79 🚀 (excellent!) My Position Size: · Max risk: $200 · Position size = $200 / 0.38 = ~526 units of SPCX My Caution: "This R:R is amazing, but the probability is low. I'll only take this if I see CLEAR bullish reversal patterns — hammer, engulfing, or bullish divergence on RSI." ●My R:R Summary Table Scenario My Entry My Stop My Target My Risk My Reward My R:R My Confidence My Action Bullish Breakout 142.45 141.50 144.97 0.95 2.52 1:2.65 Medium . Take if volume confirmed Bearish Breakdown 141.00 142.20 138.50 1.20 2.50 1:2.08 High . Only if confident in T2 Reversal Bounce 140.18 139.80 143.90 0.38 3.72 1:9.79 Low . Wait for clear signal ● My Pre‑Trade Checklist Before I enter ANY trade, I ask myself: # My Check Status 1 Is volume > MA(5)? ☐ Yes ☐ No 2 Is R:R at least 1:2? ☐ Yes ☐ No 3 Did price close outside the range? ☐ Yes ☐ No 4 Did I set my stop‑loss? ☐ Yes ☐ No 5 Am I risking ≤ 2% of my portfolio? ☐ Yes ☐ No 6 Do I have a clear target? ☐ Yes ☐ No 7 Is my emotion neutral (not FOMO/fear)? ☐ Yes ☐ No My Rule: If ANY box is unchecked, I DON'T trade. -My Next Step "I'll wait for the 08-14 US session open — that's when volume usually picks up. If the breakout happens then, I'll execute. If not, I'll sit out and protect my capital." ●My Post‑Trade Reflection (to fill out later) · Which scenario played out? _________________________________ · Did I follow my plan? ☐ Yes ☐ No · My entry price: ________ My exit price: ________ · My actual R:R: ________ · What did I do well? _________________________________ · What could I improve? _________________________________ · My emotion during the trade: _________________________________ · Grade my execution: A / B / C / D / F This is my complete trading journal — disciplined, calculated, and honest.

🚀 $SPCX — SpaceX Rally Continues! Current Price: $144.89 24H Change: +7.16% 🟢 24H High: $149.45 24H Low: $135.36 SpaceX is showing strong momentum, up over 7% in the last 24 hours. The price is currently trading near $145 after touching a high of $149.45. Key Levels to Watch: 🔴 Resistance: $149.45 / $151.62 🟢 Support: $141.09 / $135.36 A break above $149.45 could push SPCX toward $151.62 or higher. If sellers step in, the first support sits at $141.09, followed by $135.36. Volume is healthy but slightly below average — watch for a pickup to confirm the breakout. Space stocks have been volatile lately. This move could be the start of a larger trend. What's your take on $SPCX? · Will it break above $149.45? · Or pull back from here? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 $SPCX

SPCX Shorts Update Anthing above $145 is a good short (sell) 10% more shorts added from $148 Expecting more than 10% drop from these levels $150-145 Targeting $127 or Down Right now trading around $150 TP1 : 130 , TP2: 128 & TP3:127 Not a Financial advice $preSPCX $rSPCX $BTC

🧲 $SPCX – Pullback to a strong trend level 🟢 SPCX LONG 🎯 Entry: 148.00 – 148.18 🛑 Stop Loss: 145.13 🎯 TP: 151.05 - 154.01 - 156.97 🧠 Plan & Logic The daily profile shows a mature, strong regime with the price confirming a turn after a clean retest, aligning on both timeframes. Price action is reacting near an important level, so risk management matters here. The setup depends on confirmation around the entry zone and follow-through after the move. Trade SPCX here 👇 🚀 📊