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Analyst sees potential $5 rally for Stellar as US Bank launches stablecoin on XLM

Analyst sees potential $5 rally for Stellar as US Bank launches stablecoin on XLM

Cointurk2026/09/13 19:12
By: Cointurk
XLM-1.16%

Stellar (XLM) faces persistent pressure in the short term amid subdued momentum and cautious trading activity. Despite these challenges, institutional interest is gradually strengthening the cryptocurrency’s longer-term outlook, with analysts pointing to renewed potential for a significant upward move if Stellar can overcome key resistance levels.

Analyst anticipates bullish move

MikybullCrypto, a well-known crypto analyst, has attracted attention by forecasting that Stellar may be poised for a major bullish phase. The analyst has consistently referenced XLM’s long-term possibilities and suggested that the token could be in the early stages of an expansion toward $5.

MikybullCrypto emphasized that current technical patterns merit close observation, as an anticipated rally could occur rapidly if market dynamics shift. Although the near-term trend shows weakness, the bullish outlook relies on the prospect of XLM breaking out from its consolidation range and starting a new upward cycle.

Some analysts point to XLM’s potential for a breakout that could ignite a strong surge, but emphasize that reclaiming critical resistance is essential for confirming any reversal.

At this stage, Stellar must still clear multiple technical barriers before a sustainable move higher can be confirmed, making these projections speculative for now.

Recent price and technical analysis

Data from TradingView indicates that Stellar has been in a downward trend since reaching an August high near $0.22. After a brief recovery to around $0.197 in early September, the rally lost steam and failed to establish a sustained upside breakout.

Currently, XLM has retreated to approximately $0.1777. The formation of lower highs in recent sessions demonstrates that sellers are still in control of the short-term structure.

Stellar’s price now trades beneath its 20-period, 50-period, 100-period, and 200-period exponential moving averages, all clustered above the $0.18 mark. A break above this level could signal an initial shift in momentum in favor of buyers.

Indicator Current Value Support/Resistance Level
XLM Price $0.1777 Resistance: $0.1800
EMAs (20, 50, 100, 200) Above current price All above $0.1800
RSI (14-period) 42.16 Signal line: 45.47
Trading Volume $83.32 million -46.66% change
Open Interest $176.76 million -3.81% change

Lower readings in both trading volume and open interest, as reported by CoinGlass, reflect reduced engagement from traders. With trading volume down 46.66 percent to $83.32 million and open interest falling 3.81 percent to $176.76 million, participation appears muted while market direction remains uncertain.

Institutional adoption and ecosystem developments

Amid a challenging technical backdrop, Stellar is gaining visibility through partnerships and adoption by financial institutions. Notably, US Bank recently launched a successful live pilot of USBDC, its proprietary USD-backed stablecoin built on the Stellar blockchain. US Bank is one of the largest commercial banks in the United States, and this move marks a significant example of a traditional financial institution deploying a stablecoin on a public blockchain.

Mini dictionary: USBDC – A U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin issued by US Bank and launched on the Stellar network as part of a pilot project to explore blockchain use in conventional finance.

With USBDC recognized as one of the first bank-issued stablecoins on a public blockchain, its introduction signals the growing role of Stellar as a testbed for digital asset innovation within the mainstream financial sector.

The pilot is considered a milestone, representing the intersection of traditional banking practices and innovative blockchain technology through the Stellar network.

While these developments strengthen Stellar’s long-term narrative, analysts maintain that technical confirmation is required for any significant price reversal. Until XLM overcomes its immediate resistance and exhibits broader market participation, short-term risk of continued consolidation remains.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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