USD/CAD Price Forecast: Consolidates near 1.4250 as rising oil prices counter bullish USD
The USD/CAD pair attracts some sellers during the first half of the European session on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through and currently trades around mid-1.4200s, nearly unchanged for the day. Moreover, spot prices remain within striking distance of the highest level since April 2025, touched earlier this week, amid a bullish US Dollar (USD).
The US Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish stance, along with elevated US bond yields and geopolitical uncertainties, helps the safe-haven USD to stand firm near an 18-month high. However, the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East provides a goodish lift to crude oil prices, underpinning the commodity-linked Loonie and acting as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair.
From a technical perspective, the recent range-bound price action witnessed over the past week or so could still be categorized as a bullish consolidation phase against the backdrop of a strong rally from the September monthly swing low. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 52.7 hints at neutral momentum rather than overbought conditions. Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator stays marginally below zero, suggesting that bullish pressure is moderating rather than reversing decisively.
Hence, any corrective pullback could find decent support near last Friday's low, around the 1.4200 round figure, which, if broken, might prompt some technical selling and drag the USD/CAD pair to the 1.4150-1.4145 region. On the top side, bulls might now await a move beyond the year-to-date high, around the 1.4300 neighborhood, touched on Monday, before positioning for an extension of a well-established short-term uptrend.
USD/CAD 4-hour chart
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The second paragraph adds stock information, while the fifth, eighth, and ninth paragraphs provide additional details. Background information is supplemented in the sixth, seventh, tenth, and eleventh paragraphs. Reuters, October 8 – Pharmaceutical company Viatris (VTRS.O) will acquire Pacira BioSciences (PCRX.O) in an all-cash deal worth $1.65 billions, adding two non-opioid painkillers to its portfolio, the companies said on Thursday. Viatris will acquire Pacira at $36.50 per share, representing a 44.8% premium to the latest closing price. Pacira’s stock rose by 44% in premarket trading. Pacira’s non-opioid painkillers, Exparel and Zilretta, generated sales in 2025 of $575.1 millions and $116.6 millions respectively. Exparel is used to relieve acute pain after surgery, and Zilretta is used to treat pain associated with knee osteoarthritis. Viatris stated it expects to expand the reach of these products in selected target markets. Viatris CEO Scott Smith stated, “the addition of these medications creates a synergy with our rapid-acting meloxicam market opportunities, positioning us as a leader in non-opioid pain management.” The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is expected to make a decision by December 27 on the approval application for rapid-acting meloxicam for the treatment of moderate to severe acute pain. Viatris plans to finance the acquisition primarily with idle cash, and the remainder through short-term borrowing. The company noted the deal will have minimal impact on its total leverage ratio. In August, Viatris (link) raised its annual adjusted profit forecast, counting on strong brand drug sales and growth in the Chinese market. The pharmaceutical company had previously faced (link) production setbacks in its Indian operations, including a fire at its Nashik plant in western India and increased competition in the generic drug market, raising concerns about the resilience and growth of its core business. The company stated the transaction is expected to close by the end of 2026 and will immediately enhance Viatris’s financial guidance metrics. (For non-native English speakers, Reuters provides automated translations of its reports into several other languages. Since automated translations may contain errors or lack necessary context, Reuters does not guarantee their accuracy and provides them for convenience only. Reuters accepts no liability for any damage or loss caused by the use of automated translation.)
