Euro falls against Canadian Dollar amid French debt fears, oil rally
EUR/CAD continues its losing streak for the fourth successive day, trading around 1.5940 during European hours on Thursday. The currency cross has depreciated as the Euro (EUR) faces ongoing pressure driven by fiscal instability in France and broader contagion fears across the Eurozone.
Concerns over Paris's ability to rein in its budget deficit triggered a sharp bond market selloff, driving the risk premium on French government debt to its highest level since the Eurozone debt crisis. As investors shed French bonds in favor of safer German bunds, French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's minority government announced a €54bn savings package last month to avert a catastrophic credit downgrade or sovereign default.
Adding to the Euro's headwinds, Germany’s Trade Surplus narrowed to €19.5 billion in August from a revised two-and-a-half-year high of €21.6 billion in July, though it slightly topped market expectations of €19 billion. The narrowing was driven by an unexpected 0.8% month-on-month drop in exports, defying forecasts for a 0.8% increase, alongside a 0.9% rebound in imports following a steep decline in the prior month.
Meanwhile, the EUR/CAD cross remains under pressure as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) benefits from a surge in global crude oil prices. Energy markets rallied on reports that the Trump administration directed the Pentagon to draft military strike options against Iran ahead of the US midterm elections, confounding expectations of a pre-election de-escalation.
Oil prices received further upward momentum from supply disruptions in the Gulf of Mexico caused by Tropical Storm Isaias. Offshore producers were forced to shut in over 510,000 barrels per day of crude production, taking approximately a quarter of the region’s total output offline and offering additional support to the CAD.
Canada faces rising political fragmentation as separatist risks resurface
Analysts at Rabobank highlight growing political strains in Canada, noting that “the separatist Parti Québécois won around 30 percent of the vote in Monday’s provincial election, gaining 59 of 127 seats—just shy of a majority but enough to form a minority government.” They add that the picture is complicated further by developments in the west, where “Alberta will vote on its own independence (or at least, the process to start considering independence) from Canada on October 19,” underscoring a rise in regional fragmentation that could add to the country’s political risk profile.
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October 8 - Better Home & Finance (BETR.O), a mortgage and home equity financing company, saw its stock price rise 3.8% to $10.30 in pre-market trading after announcing a share repurchase plan. BETR stated that its board of directors has approved a stock buyback program of up to $30 million, with an initial phase of $10 million to kick off the repurchase. The company plans to adjust the pace of the repurchase based on realized operational cost savings and asset disposal progress, such as the proposed sale of its UK bank subsidiary. The buyback program is set to expire on October 8, 2027. In August, BETR forecasted that its Q3 revenue would be below Wall Street expectations as it focuses on partnership opportunities and accelerating the development of its home equity credit business. As of the previous trading day's close, the company's market capitalization was approximately $175 million. As of Wednesday, the stock has dropped about 70% year-to-date. According to LSEG data, seven out of eight analysts rate the stock as "strong buy" or "buy," with one rating it as "hold"; the median target price is $25. (For the convenience of non-English speakers, Reuters provides translated automated reports in several other languages. As automated translations may contain errors or lack required context, Reuters does not guarantee the accuracy of these texts and provides them simply for convenience. Reuters accepts no liability for any damage or loss arising from the use of automated translation.)
Fed Governor Waller leaves room for hawkishness: More rate hikes are needed to support inflation decline, not necessarily on a monthly basis.
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Updated: Viatris will acquire pain therapy manufacturer Pacira BioSciences for 1.65 billions dollars.
The second paragraph adds stock information, while the fifth, eighth, and ninth paragraphs provide additional details. Background information is supplemented in the sixth, seventh, tenth, and eleventh paragraphs. Reuters, October 8 – Pharmaceutical company Viatris (VTRS.O) will acquire Pacira BioSciences (PCRX.O) in an all-cash deal worth $1.65 billions, adding two non-opioid painkillers to its portfolio, the companies said on Thursday. Viatris will acquire Pacira at $36.50 per share, representing a 44.8% premium to the latest closing price. Pacira’s stock rose by 44% in premarket trading. Pacira’s non-opioid painkillers, Exparel and Zilretta, generated sales in 2025 of $575.1 millions and $116.6 millions respectively. Exparel is used to relieve acute pain after surgery, and Zilretta is used to treat pain associated with knee osteoarthritis. Viatris stated it expects to expand the reach of these products in selected target markets. Viatris CEO Scott Smith stated, “the addition of these medications creates a synergy with our rapid-acting meloxicam market opportunities, positioning us as a leader in non-opioid pain management.” The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is expected to make a decision by December 27 on the approval application for rapid-acting meloxicam for the treatment of moderate to severe acute pain. Viatris plans to finance the acquisition primarily with idle cash, and the remainder through short-term borrowing. The company noted the deal will have minimal impact on its total leverage ratio. In August, Viatris (link) raised its annual adjusted profit forecast, counting on strong brand drug sales and growth in the Chinese market. The pharmaceutical company had previously faced (link) production setbacks in its Indian operations, including a fire at its Nashik plant in western India and increased competition in the generic drug market, raising concerns about the resilience and growth of its core business. The company stated the transaction is expected to close by the end of 2026 and will immediately enhance Viatris’s financial guidance metrics. (For non-native English speakers, Reuters provides automated translations of its reports into several other languages. Since automated translations may contain errors or lack necessary context, Reuters does not guarantee their accuracy and provides them for convenience only. Reuters accepts no liability for any damage or loss caused by the use of automated translation.)
