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Morgan Stanley recommends shorting EUR/CHF as euro risks rise

Morgan Stanley recommends shorting EUR/CHF as euro risks rise

智通财经智通财经2026/10/07 16:41
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Morgan Stanley strategists have renewed their recommendation to short EUR/CHF, betting that rising risk aversion and increasing risk premiums on eurozone assets will drag down the euro. In a report published Wednesday, the strategists wrote that shorting EUR/CHF could hedge against "further increases in fiscal and political risk premiums," and that bond market volatility may prompt markets to reprice European Central Bank policy expectations in a more dovish direction. They noted that concerns from the Swiss National Bank over Swiss franc appreciation pose a risk to the EUR/CHF short, potentially driving the pair higher. The strategists target EUR/CHF at 0.90 with a stop-loss at 0.96. They also continue to recommend shorting EUR/AUD and expect the euro to weaken against most currencies.

Morgan Stanley strategists have once again recommended shorting EUR/CHF, betting that rising risk aversion and increasing risk premiums on Eurozone assets will drag down the euro. In a report released on Wednesday, the strategists wrote that shorting EUR/CHF can hedge against “further increases in fiscal and political risk premiums,” as well as the possibility that bond market volatility may prompt the market to reprice European Central Bank policy expectations in a more dovish direction. They noted that the Swiss National Bank’s concerns over a strong franc pose a risk to shorting EUR/CHF and could push the currency pair higher. The strategists recommend shorting EUR/CHF with a target of 0.90 and a stop-loss at 0.96. They continue to recommend shorting EUR/AUD and expect the euro to weaken against most currencies.
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