Mizuho is bullish on the yen: year-end target is 153; intervention should be monitored if it approaches 159 or falls below 160.
智通财经2026/10/07 04:06Kengo Suzuki, Senior Strategist at Mizuho Investor Relations' Investment Analysis Department, stated that the U.S. economy is mainly supported by the artificial intelligence (AI) boom, but signs of slowing have already appeared. He expects the yen to strengthen to around 153 against the U.S. dollar by the end of the year. Suzuki also remarked that the current strength of the dollar is "excessive," and projects that by the end of March 2027, the yen will rise to around 150 per dollar. Given that U.S. mortgage rates are above 7%, the U.S. economy may gradually start to slow within the next six months, thereby limiting the dollar’s upside. If the yen exchange rate approaches 159, the bullish outlook for the yen may need to be re-evaluated, and the 158.5 level, which corresponds to the 200-day moving average, will draw attention. The consensus between Japan and the U.S. to prevent the yen from depreciating significantly is of great importance; if the yen continues to weaken and falls below 160, expectations of intervention are likely to suppress further short-selling of the yen.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
BUZZ-RBC Downgrades Building Materials Companies, Warns of Headwinds in 2027
On October 7, RBC Capital Markets downgraded the ratings of construction materials companies Builders FirstSource (BLDR.N) and Owens Corning (OC.N) from "Outperform" to "Sector Perform." The brokerage also downgraded flooring manufacturer Mohawk Industries (MHK.N) from "Sector Perform" to "Underperform," citing weak flooring demand and increasing price and cost pressures. Shares of BLDR, OC, and MHK fell 1% to 2% in pre-market trading. RBC noted that new residential construction faces the highest risks, while other construction markets remain uneven. With ongoing inflation and cost pressures, RBC prefers distributors over manufacturers. Near-term performance may be mixed, but due to timing issues, more significant challenges are expected by 2027, which could lead to considerable stock price volatility, according to RBC. Target price adjustments for specific stocks are as follows: Company Name Previous Target Price Current Target Price Builders FirstSource $88 $62 Core & Main $60 $57 Ferguson Enterprises $290 $286 Fortune Brands Innovations $57 $49 Installed Building Products $228 $208 Masco Corporation $72 $69 Mohawk Industries $130 $112 Owens Corning $172 $127 QXO Inc. $27 $18 SiteOne Landscape Supply $135 $124 Whirlpool Corporation $32 $22 (For the convenience of non-English speakers, Reuters provides automated translations of its reports into several other languages. Due to the possible inaccuracies or contextual omissions of automated translations, Reuters does not guarantee their accuracy. The automated translations are provided for the convenience of readers. Reuters accepts no responsibility for any damage or loss caused by use of the automated translation functionality.)
Strong demand for UK government bond auction
(1) The UK Debt Management Office issued £1 billion of government bonds through a programmed auction, with a coupon rate of 0.25% and maturing in July 2031, receiving strong demand. (2) The awarded yield was lower than the yield offered by sellers at the time of bidding, with a high bid-to-cover ratio and a narrow tail spread. (3) Specifically, this 4.75-year bond achieved an average yield of about 4.84%, roughly 2 basis points below the sellers' offer, with total bids amounting to approximately £4.39 billion, a bid-to-cover ratio of about 4.4 times, and a tail of about 0.3 basis points.
Perseus: Active gold mine acquisitions, but valuation discrepancies make transactions difficult
Craig Jones, CEO of Perseus, stated that merger and acquisition activities are quite active throughout the gold industry. However, due to gold price fluctuations making it difficult for companies to agree on valuations, transactions are still expected to be challenging to complete. Later on Tuesday, Jones said there is a lot of activity, but not necessarily many deals that can be completed.
Mark Stevens, Nvidia's board director, tops the insider selling list in the third quarter
Billionaires closely related to the artificial intelligence industry became dominant players on the Q3 corporate insider selling list. During this period, tech stocks experienced highly volatile fluctuations, and market warnings about potential risks of artificial intelligence increased significantly. According to Washington Service data, which tracks corporate insider trades, billionaire venture capitalist and Nvidia director Mark Stevens topped the Q3 insider selling chart. Nvidia’s stock valuation at the time approached its lowest level in over a decade. Other AI-related billionaires in the top ten include Arista Networks CEO Jayshree Ullal, as well as Amazon founder Jeff Bezos. According to the agency’s billionaire index, the combined net worth of these three individuals is around 302 billions dollars.
